Abstract
The Virtual Belgium project aims at developing an understanding of the evolution of the Belgian population using agent-based simulations and considering various aspects of this evolution such as demographics, residential choices, activity patterns, mobility, etc. This simulation is based on a validated synthetic population consisting of approximately 10,000,000 individuals and 4,350,000 households located in the 589 municipalities of Belgium. The work presented in this paper focuses only on the mobility behavior of such large populations and this is simulated using an activity-based approach in which the travel demand is derived from the activities performed by the individuals. The proposed model is distribution-based and requires only minimal information, but is designed to easily take advantage of any additional network-related data available. The proposed activity-based approach has been applied to the Belgian synthetic population. The quality of the agent behavior is discussed using statistical criteria extracted from the literature and results show that Virtual Belgium produces satisfactory results.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal | Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation |
| Volume | 18 |
| Issue number | 3 |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jun 2015 |
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Keywords
- Activity chains
- Large population simulation
- Micro-simulation
- Nationwide model
- Non geo-localized data
- Transport demand forecasting
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A stochastic and flexible activity based model for large population. Application to Belgium. / Barthelemy, Johan; Toint, Philippe.
In: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Vol. 18, No. 3, 01.06.2015.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
TY - JOUR
T1 - A stochastic and flexible activity based model for large population. Application to Belgium
AU - Barthelemy, Johan
AU - Toint, Philippe
PY - 2015/6/1
Y1 - 2015/6/1
N2 - The Virtual Belgium project aims at developing an understanding of the evolution of the Belgian population using agent-based simulations and considering various aspects of this evolution such as demographics, residential choices, activity patterns, mobility, etc. This simulation is based on a validated synthetic population consisting of approximately 10,000,000 individuals and 4,350,000 households located in the 589 municipalities of Belgium. The work presented in this paper focuses only on the mobility behavior of such large populations and this is simulated using an activity-based approach in which the travel demand is derived from the activities performed by the individuals. The proposed model is distribution-based and requires only minimal information, but is designed to easily take advantage of any additional network-related data available. The proposed activity-based approach has been applied to the Belgian synthetic population. The quality of the agent behavior is discussed using statistical criteria extracted from the literature and results show that Virtual Belgium produces satisfactory results.
AB - The Virtual Belgium project aims at developing an understanding of the evolution of the Belgian population using agent-based simulations and considering various aspects of this evolution such as demographics, residential choices, activity patterns, mobility, etc. This simulation is based on a validated synthetic population consisting of approximately 10,000,000 individuals and 4,350,000 households located in the 589 municipalities of Belgium. The work presented in this paper focuses only on the mobility behavior of such large populations and this is simulated using an activity-based approach in which the travel demand is derived from the activities performed by the individuals. The proposed model is distribution-based and requires only minimal information, but is designed to easily take advantage of any additional network-related data available. The proposed activity-based approach has been applied to the Belgian synthetic population. The quality of the agent behavior is discussed using statistical criteria extracted from the literature and results show that Virtual Belgium produces satisfactory results.
KW - Activity chains
KW - Large population simulation
KW - Micro-simulation
KW - Nationwide model
KW - Non geo-localized data
KW - Transport demand forecasting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84934784585&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
VL - 18
JO - Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
JF - Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
SN - 1460-7425
IS - 3
ER -