Synthetic population initialization and evolution-agent-based modelling of population aging and household transitions

Mohammad Reza Namazi-Rad, Nam Huynh, Johan Barthelemy, Pascal Perez

    Résultats de recherche: Contribution dans un livre/un catalogue/un rapport/dans les actes d'une conférenceArticle dans les actes d'une conférence/un colloque

    Résumé

    A synthetic population (SP) aims at faithfully reproducing actual social entities, individuals and households, and their characteristics as described in a population census. Depending on the quality and completeness of the input data sets, as well as the number of variables of interest and hierarchical levels (usually, individual and household), a reliable SP should be able to reflect the actual physical social entities, with their characteristics and specific behavioural patterns. This paper presents a methodology to construct a reliable dynamic synthetic population for the Illawarra Region-Australia. The two main components in the population synthesizer presented in this paper are initialization and evolution. Iterative proportional fitting procedure (IPFP) is presented to help with the initialization of the population using 2011 Australian census. Then, population aging and evolution is projected using an agent-based modeling (ABM) technique over ten years.

    langue originaleAnglais
    titrePRIMA 2014
    Sous-titrePrinciples and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems - 17th International Conference, Proceedings
    rédacteurs en chefYang Xu, Jeremy Pitt, Hoa Khanh Dam, Guido Governatori, Takayuki Ito
    EditeurSpringer Verlag
    Pages182-189
    Nombre de pages8
    ISBN (Electronique)9783319131900
    Etat de la publicationPublié - 1 janv. 2014
    Evénement17th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2014 - Gold Coast, Australie
    Durée: 1 déc. 20145 déc. 2014

    Série de publications

    NomLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
    Volume8861
    ISSN (imprimé)0302-9743
    ISSN (Electronique)1611-3349

    Une conférence

    Une conférence17th International Conference on Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems, PRIMA 2014
    Pays/TerritoireAustralie
    La villeGold Coast
    période1/12/145/12/14

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